Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000119 0.000132 0.000146 0.000162 0.000179 0.000199 0.000221
2025-11-23 0.000100 0.000117 0.000137 0.000161 0.000190 0.000223 0.000264
2025-11-30 0.000086 0.000107 0.000131 0.000162 0.000201 0.000248 0.000309
2025-12-07 0.000075 0.000097 0.000124 0.000160 0.000208 0.000268 0.000351
2025-12-14 0.000068 0.000091 0.000121 0.000163 0.000220 0.000296 0.000404
2025-12-21 0.000062 0.000085 0.000117 0.000164 0.000229 0.000320 0.000456
2025-12-28 0.000056 0.000080 0.000113 0.000163 0.000236 0.000341 0.000503
2026-01-04 0.000052 0.000076 0.000111 0.000165 0.000247 0.000369 0.000563
2026-01-11 0.000048 0.000072 0.000108 0.000166 0.000255 0.000392 0.000619
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000068 0.000105 0.000165 0.000262 0.000414 0.000674
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000065 0.000102 0.000164 0.000267 0.000434 0.000726
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000062 0.000100 0.000164 0.000274 0.000456 0.000786
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000058 0.000096 0.000163 0.000279 0.000476 0.000843
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000056 0.000094 0.000162 0.000285 0.000498 0.000908
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000053 0.000092 0.000163 0.000292 0.000524 0.000981
2026-03-01 0.000029 0.000051 0.000089 0.000161 0.000296 0.000543 0.001043
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000049 0.000088 0.000163 0.000307 0.000578 0.001139
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000048 0.000087 0.000164 0.000316 0.000607 0.001226
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000046 0.000085 0.000163 0.000320 0.000629 0.001301
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000045 0.000084 0.000166 0.000332 0.000666 0.001411
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000043 0.000083 0.000166 0.000340 0.000696 0.001507
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000042 0.000081 0.000166 0.000345 0.000721 0.001599
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000040 0.000079 0.000165 0.000350 0.000745 0.001686